Few days after declaration of the first Geneva statement about Syrian crises in 2012, in a press conference of Davutoğlu who was foreign minister at that moment, I have asked him on Turkey’s view which Turkey demanded transferring peace power in Syria while Ankara obviously requires collapsing the Assad regime.
We have to fine political valve for Assad in a case if he deiced to leave the power because if he stay a place without any valve, thus he opt fight till the end of his life” Davutoğlusaid.
When I heard these expressions I suddenly remember Davutoğlu’s speech when he declared his new Party’s agendas. The Party that has been declared in Ankara “Future Party” at the same hotel which 18 years ago “Justice and Development Party – AKPS” has been announced. I have asked myself “Do not you think that Davutoğluthrough this Party will find a new valve to Erdogan for involving those who are separate from Erdogan’s Party, which means previous of Davutoğlu’s Party”.
Political analysts believe that Babajan’s Party will be huge threat in front of Erdogan because the conflict between Erdogan and Fethullah Gülen is a real and strong competitive.
The Future Party is not direct hostile of AKP on political arena. According to surveys this new Party cannot be success and pass tenth percentagewise of next election. However, this ratio even may less than this is quite enough to dismiss Erdogan on rules because most of the Future Party’s votes come inside AKP. Additionally, hereafter, Erdogan in the best case will not gain no more than (38 %).
At this moment, Davutoğlu is far from the rule may only in two cases:
First forming a new alliance with opposition Parties, particularly with new nationalist opposition Party which led by Akshnar and within a new Party of Ali Babajan that wants to found by the assistance of Fethullah Gülen
Even in this scenario, Davutoğluwill not be a strong candidate to be a prime minister because Gülen cannot trust on him. According to the survey, Babajan’s Party will obtain more than Davutoğlu’s Party. However, if both make an agreement on posts and taking roles, may it would be presidency for Babajan’s Party and prime minster would be to the Davutoğlu’s Party.
The second scenario is belonging to high politics analysis, which obliges Erdogan to request Davutoğlu to form a new coalition. But this scenario is far because there is no sign to establish this coalition.
Davutoğlu in his new Party’s agenda confirmed that he supports an aboard policy on the principles of diplomatic resolution of conflicts. He wants to keep Turkey’s reputation by increasing its international supports.
Jordan Journalist, originally from Palatinate