Most of the economists believe that the world’s political perceptions have a private economy reasons, in contrast may the world’s geopolitical conflicts become a pressure to prove the economy blockades. The vivid sample, when Donald Trump’s (the united states president) priority is fulfilling his election campaign as the foreign policy of his country and with an immense political decision from the nuclear agreements between the countries (five plus one) and the united nations and Iran that has been signed during the Obama’s period on 2015.
What is future of oil marketing following the second set of sanction on Iran and the deals between USA and OPEC?
The sanction of America on Iran starts in a time which an oil infrastructure of Iran measured as a (%9,3) of the world’s export and for the last ten years the energy sector is the main Iran’s financial sources. The most advanced Iran’s capital is progress in their oil sector because its Iran’s chief budget source. The Iran’s oil export reached 1.5 million barrels per day in the beginning of 2012, but in the next half of the same year the attempts of East economic blockade start to limited Iran’s nuclear activities, this effort had a direct impact on industrial subdivision of Iran. The oil industrial of Iran has decreased as a result of unstable of Iran’s economy and its capital environment, this is in a time which Iran was the second biggest oil exports of OPEC. In the same time, the oil’s price was high hopeful chance for the oil owners.
Generally, there are two options in front of the countries who have signed energy contracts and trading deals with Islamic republic of Iran: they can fearfully keep their contracts or endorse the United States sanctions and organize their business with the USA direction strategies. Undoubtedly, the second is supplementary appropriate with the international logics of capitalism.The customers of Iran’s oil are looking to find a new safe alternative inside or the outside of the OPEC organization or may the United States of America itself become the biggest alternative of Iran’s oil exporting, which has been intensively developed in exporting its oil and liquid gases. Regards to this purpose, the Trump’s administration has targeted banks activities and national economy of Iran’s oil.
The long-term strategy of the United States toward Iran’s economy blockade and situation:
The withdraw of Trump’s decision in the agreement of (5+1) and United nations and Iran has the below long-terms impacts:
First: blockades on the international establishments who has deals with Iran after the nuclear agreement and have capitalism in Iran.
Second: the first side of the United States’ goal stands by limiting the oil’s exports and observing and blocking banks exchanges of Iran.
Third: to increase effects the blockade on Iran, in the near future America wishes the financial ability reduce until they cannot progress their nuclear industries. For this purpose, the United States want the oil exports ability of Iran close to zero.
Fourth: The United States want to cut the Iran for achieving the currency of Dollars and Euros, in the result of this agenda, Iran has been ignored to international financial exchanges.
Fifth: The United States attempt to increase the countries who have the same opinion in supposing the blockades on Iran. For this purpose, The United States increased his diplomatic endeavors with the European countries by giving energy security whose may have economic disadvantages as a result of the blockade.
Sixth: The United States used the economy blockades to obedient Iran not as a strategic target and foreign institution policy, therefore, before tighten the influences of the economic blockade Iran can be ready for negotiation with America for the behalf of applying the American strategy int the territory. If not, the America can offer the rebels forces inside Iran for uprising against Islamic republic of Iran or may military raid in the future if needs.
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