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Withdrawal of US forces from Afghanistan and future of Iraq (1)

Withdrawal of US and Foreign Forces from Afghanistan gave a new breath to area’s terrorist groups

Hussein Ihsany by Hussein Ihsany
January 22, 2023
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Fight in Afghanistan, Islamic Emirate or Islamic republic?

Follows the declaration by the United States Armed Forces withdrawal schedule from Afghanistan, Taliban Group firstly began small attacks in South areas due to control “Kabul” and other around towns in one hand. On the other hand, Doha agreement provides a condition to Taliban for attacking some areas under the control of Afghanistan Government. This situation has spread among the Afghanis till a way which they faced obliged immigration. The fear and intimidation had repeatedly spread in Afghan capital, and suddenly Afghan security forces and defending citizens has turned the pages toward the interest of the “Afghan” state and could be able to retaken the occupied areas. This short explanation can clarify some of the important local reasons in the Afghanistan war.

The withdrawal of US and Foreign forces from Afghanistan gave a new breath to the area’s terrorist groups and Taliban groups in order to be able to reorganize their forces. Within support of five thousand flee prisoners whom flee by the Afghanistan state due to maintain on peaceful agreements. However, the main target was to capture Kabul. The concept of capturing Kabul was an idea that Taliban believed it has done follow the peace agreement with The United States and now the time of invade US forces end. Additionally, the Afghanistan military forces without support of US armed forces has not the capability to protect Afghanistan, therefore, Taliban groups easily can capture Kabul.

In March 2020, the Taliban group in Doha came to the belief that the agreement with the United States would end and they should depend on the option of using military forces to ruin ruling regime in Kabul and Afghanistan, so that they could revive the Islamic Emirates.

Withdrawal of US troops from Afghanistan

The Taliban once again tested the idea of invasions so that they could bring back Afghanistan under their control. After Biden’s latest announcement of the withdrawal of US forces, the Taliban group changed its strategy and adopted a new strategy instead of terrorizing cities and seizing villages around major cities, they depend on a new strategy. This strategy was to occupy the areas and carry out massacres and genocides. The Taliban, however, attacked different areas and towns to take control of parts of Afghanistan and expand their power.

What will happen in the future?

To achieve peace, it seems to be a bright light in the current situation. The Taliban follow a bipartisan policy, which throughout this policy believes in a political solution, but in reality their war and violence against the Afghan continues. The Taliban seem to want to evaluate its strong point through the military and choose a political solution and a negotiating table during its weakness and defeated circumstances. But what’s clear is that the people of Afghanistan, because of their experience with Taliban period, they are not interested within backing Islamic Emirates period. Generally, there is a lot of hatred against the Taliban in one hand, on the other hand, it is for the first time in a united country, standing with the state to confront the Taliban and protect the values of the past 20 years. Therefore, the trust and stability of the current situation depends on the extent of the cooperation and assistance of the state and the nation to confront the Taliban.

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Hussein Ihsany

Hussein Ihsany

Researcher at Afghanistan Strategy Institute

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